tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3722233.post1647665228920046538..comments2024-03-28T18:17:00.135-05:00Comments on Computational Complexity: The Big AggregatorsLance Fortnowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06752030912874378610noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3722233.post-68256439184908723742009-11-01T06:09:44.006-06:002009-11-01T06:09:44.006-06:00I tried to reconstruct the proof on the fly. I end...I tried to reconstruct the proof on the fly. I ended up with a proof ..... It is a complex subject and one can perhaps write a dissertation on it ... You need to prove P=NP to communicate with the dead. ... Jesus: 260000000; Lincoln: 212000000; Beatles: 88200000 (They once said they were more popular than Jesus". ...M-Wavehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13408947017986840811noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3722233.post-29653619376090524352008-09-02T18:12:00.000-05:002008-09-02T18:12:00.000-05:00By the way, I believe both CNN and CNBC were pushi...By the way, I believe both CNN and CNBC were pushing Intrade late last week, which probably accounted for some of their performance issues.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3722233.post-4771356555639424172008-09-02T18:01:00.000-05:002008-09-02T18:01:00.000-05:00Interest link, Anonymous! Perhaps there is somethi...Interest link, Anonymous! Perhaps there is something to be said about predictions for the prediction markets: using unusual Wikipedia activity ("high volatility" of Palin page in this instance) as an indication of "inside" information that could be acted upon on (virtually unregulated) prediction markets like intrade.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3722233.post-86027373073742624392008-09-02T14:59:00.000-05:002008-09-02T14:59:00.000-05:00Nice post. I've followed UK politics and reality T...Nice post. I've followed UK politics and reality TV using the betting markets for years. That was one of the reasons I set up Hubdub, which is a play money prediction market. As you note, a single number can cut through all the noise.<BR/><BR/>We've got about 300 politics markets including whether Palin will drop out: http://www.hubdub.com/m14929/Will_Sarah_Palin_step_down_as_the_VP_nominee_before_the_november_election (currently trading at 19%)<BR/><BR/>I like the way you have widgetized your election map. Here is our map: http://www.hubdub.com/election_mapnigeleccleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05776277592956236078noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3722233.post-43643178286198726832008-09-02T11:46:00.000-05:002008-09-02T11:46:00.000-05:00You know that Palin's wikipedia page was scrubbed ...You know that Palin's wikipedia page was scrubbed the night before she was nominated, right?<BR/><BR/>http://www.boingboing.net/2008/08/30/who-scrubbed-wikiped.htmlAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3722233.post-6734797993784359262008-09-02T10:36:00.000-05:002008-09-02T10:36:00.000-05:00Also, Intrade has a market on Palin being withdraw...Also, Intrade has a market on Palin being withdrawn as VP nominee before the election. This contract is currently at 10, down from as high as 18 earlier this morning.Michael Lugohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15671307315028242949noreply@blogger.com